Tag Archives: Mubarak

Is Mubarak’s Regime Back?

“Mubarak’s regime is back, along with its security state and military rule” – a statement that I hear very often these days: from Mubarak loyalists “feloul” celebrating the victory of their “new” revolution against the previous one; from Muslim Brotherhood … Continue reading

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A Revolution Struggling

14 months later, it seems that the Egyptian revolution is struggling at best, dead at worst. The counter revolution, led by the different elements of the previous regime (most of them still in power), is gaining ground. In this analysis, I’m not trying to be optimistic or pessimistic, but rather to reflect on what happened, and why we got to this point, which may help us all as we think of what is next. Continue reading

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A Deal with the Devil

The army finally reveals their terms to accept a civilian government and free elections: a sovereign military institution and a veto right over the President and Parliament. If we don’t accept their terms, the alternative will be a military president. Continue reading

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The Tipping Point: When Will Change Come to Egypt?

Egyptians are unhappy with their government and the state of the country – nobody can argue against that. However, for any meaningful change to happen, three conditions need to take to take place. Continue reading

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The Myth of Gamal Mubarak

Most Egyptians today are obsessed with the succession conversation, and rightfully so, for the country’s fate has always been decided by the whim of its individual ruler, rather than institutions. The common sentiment in all these conversations is that Gamal Mubarak’s accession to power is a near fait accompli. However, I would make a contrarian argument that this is a myth. Gamal Mubarak is unlikely to be Egypt’s next President; and if he did, it will be for a very short period. Why? Continue reading

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The Economic Cost of Authoritarianism

For three decades, Mubarak made a strong argument that political reforms need to come after economic reforms. He argued that people care about making a living – food, shelter, jobs, education and healthcare – rather than political freedoms. And to reform the economy we need “stability,” as opposed to the chaos that comes with a democratic process. Yet every day that passes shows how flawed this argument is: we are losing both, out political freedoms and our economic livelihood. Why? Continue reading

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Can we Trust Them with Free Elections?

One of the most common arguments among the Egyptian elite, whenever the “idea” of free elections comes up is: can we trust the people (often said with a disgusted look) with free elections? What do they know? They’re ignorant at best, Islamist at worst, and often both. Continue reading

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